Edge Desk paper-only · Polymarket measurement systems

Signals & model vs market

Station Kind DP Local date Decision Backtest edge Executable edge Reason (gap, if any) Model vs market by bracket
VILK high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
VILK low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
KAUS high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KAUS low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KDAL high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KDAL low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KHOU high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KHOU low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KORD high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KORD low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
MMMX high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
MMMX low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
SAEZ high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
SAEZ low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
SBGR high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
SBGR low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
WIHH high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
WIHH low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
NZWN high d06 2026-11-12 no bet — — no_market —
NZWN low d06 2026-11-12 no bet — — no_market —
KLAX high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KLAX low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KSEA high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KSEA low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KSFO high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KSFO low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
CYYZ high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
CYYZ low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KATL high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KATL low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KDCA high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KDCA low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KLGA high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KLGA low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KMIA high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KMIA low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
MPMG high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
MPMG low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
HKO high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — market_incomplete
22 brackets
Market Side Model p Top ask Backtest edge Executable edge
6955067 YES 0.2% 0.4% — -0.2%
6955067 NO 99.8% 99.9% — -0.1%
6955068 YES 0.3% 0.9% — -0.5%
6955068 NO 99.7% 99.9% — -0.3%
6955069 YES 0.8% 10.0% — -9.2%
6955069 NO 99.2% — — —
6955070 YES 3.6% 10.0% — -6.4%
6955070 NO 96.4% — — —
6955071 YES 16.7% 24.0% — -6.5%
6955071 NO 83.3% 81.0% — 1.5%
6955072 YES 35.2% 49.0% — -11.1%
6955072 NO 64.8% 56.0% — 6.1%
6955073 YES 28.4% 33.0% — -8.1%
6955073 NO 71.6% 72.0% — 3.1%
6955074 YES 12.9% 13.0% — -0.1%
6955074 NO 87.1% 96.0% — -8.9%
6955075 YES 1.6% 10.0% — -8.4%
6955075 NO 98.4% — — —
6955076 YES 0.2% 10.0% — -9.8%
6955076 NO 99.8% — — —
6955077 YES 0.2% 0.1% — -0.1%
6955077 NO 99.8% — — —
HKO low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — market_incomplete
22 brackets
Market Side Model p Top ask Backtest edge Executable edge
6954136 YES 0.1% 20.0% — —
6954136 NO 99.9% — — —
6954137 YES 0.0% 65.0% — —
6954137 NO 100.0% — — —
6954138 YES 0.2% 52.0% — —
6954138 NO 99.8% — — —
6954139 YES 1.4% 64.0% — —
6954139 NO 98.6% — — —
6954140 YES 6.6% 55.0% — —
6954140 NO 93.4% 85.0% — —
6954141 YES 5.9% 60.0% — —
6954141 NO 94.1% 80.0% — —
6954142 YES 5.0% 14.0% — —
6954142 NO 95.0% 97.0% — —
6954143 YES 6.9% 16.7% — —
6954143 NO 93.1% 99.7% — —
6954144 YES 10.9% 19.0% — —
6954144 NO 89.1% — — —
6954145 YES 15.3% 19.0% — —
6954145 NO 84.7% — — —
6954146 YES 47.7% 20.0% — —
6954146 NO 52.3% — — —
RCSS high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
RCSS low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
RPLL high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
RPLL low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
VHHH high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
VHHH low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
WMKK high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
WMKK low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
WSSS high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
WSSS low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZBAA high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZBAA low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZGGG high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZGGG low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZGSZ high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZGSZ low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZHCC high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZHCC low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZHHH high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZHHH low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZSJN high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZSJN low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZSPD high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZSPD low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZSQD high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZSQD low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZUCK high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZUCK low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZUUU high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
ZUUU low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
KBKF high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KBKF low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
RJTT high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
RJTT low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
RKPK high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
RKPK low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
RKSI high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
RKSI low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
KAUS high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KAUS low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KDAL high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KDAL low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KHOU high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KHOU low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KORD high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KORD low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
MMMX high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
MMMX low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
SAEZ high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
SAEZ low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
SBGR high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
SBGR low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EGLC high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EGLC low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KLAX high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KLAX low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KSEA high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KSEA low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KSFO high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KSFO low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
CYYZ high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
CYYZ low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KATL high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KATL low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KDCA high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KDCA low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KLGA high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KLGA low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KMIA high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KMIA low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
MPMG high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
MPMG low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
DNMM high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
DNMM low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EDDM high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EDDM low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EHAM high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EHAM low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EPWA high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EPWA low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LEMD high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LEMD low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LFPB high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LFPB low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LFPG high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LFPG low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LIMC high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LIMC low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KBKF high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KBKF low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EFHK high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EFHK low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
FACT high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
FACT low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LLBG high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LLBG low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KAUS high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KAUS low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KDAL high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KDAL low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KHOU high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KHOU low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KORD high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KORD low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
MMMX high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
MMMX low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
SAEZ high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
SAEZ low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
SBGR high d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
SBGR low d09 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EGLC high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EGLC low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LTAC high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LTAC low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LTFM high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LTFM low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
OEJN high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
OEJN low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
UUWW high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
UUWW low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
NZWN high 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
NZWN low 24h 2026-11-13 no bet — — no_market —
CYYZ high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
CYYZ low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KATL high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KATL low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KDCA high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KDCA low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KLGA high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KLGA low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KMIA high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
KMIA low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
MPMG high d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
MPMG low d06 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
DNMM high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
DNMM low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EDDM high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EDDM low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EHAM high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EHAM low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EPWA high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EPWA low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LEMD high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LEMD low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LFPB high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LFPB low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LFPG high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LFPG low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LIMC high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LIMC low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
OMDB high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
OMDB low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EFHK high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
EFHK low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
FACT high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
FACT low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LLBG high d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
LLBG low d12 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
OPKC high d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —
OPKC low d15 2026-11-11 no bet — — no_market —