Edge Desk paper-only · Polymarket measurement systems

Dashboard

Weather

● Attention
  • fusion_harvest last succeeded 9d ago
  • monitor_drift last succeeded 9d ago
  • 233 unmapped events
Paper bankroll
$482.01
-$517.99 realized · 118 settled · 0 open
Open markets
243
Settled markets
16408
Settlements checked
16207
updated just now

Soccer

● Attention
  • report data is 202 h old (sync may be failing)
  • E1 paper book halted: drawdown 17.3% >= 15%
E1 promotion gate
FAIL
2 pass · 5 fail · 1 insufficient
E1 paper P&L (simulated) — gates FAIL
+$2449.67
n=330 settled · 0 open · 2/4 weeks · The promotion gate FAILS: this P&L is not evidence of an edge. Only 2 weeks logged (4 needed): no confidence interval and no verdict.
Games in next 24 h
0
Last order-book snapshot
2m ago
Snapshots stored
545676
Coverage (14 d)
288/546 · 53%
Matched / in review
532 / 674
pH vs market (fused rows) (ΔLL)
+0.0075 [0.000, 0.015]
Paper shadow days (gate 6b needs 28)20/28
updated just now

US sports

● Attention
  • report data is 176 h old (sync may be failing)
  • E1 paper book halted
E1 promotion gate
FAIL
1 pass · 5 fail · 0 insufficient
E1 paper P&L (simulated) — gates FAIL
-$366.89
n=72 settled · 0 open · 3/4 weeks · The promotion gate FAILS: this P&L is not evidence of an edge. Only 3 weeks logged (4 needed): no confidence interval and no verdict.
Games in next 24 h
17
Last order-book snapshot
13m ago
Snapshots stored
66694
Coverage (14 d)
108/230 · 47%
Matched / in review
322 / 154
pH vs market (ΔLL)
-0.0104 [-0.019, -0.002]
Days logged (gate 6b needs 28 days of shadow)27/28
updated 1m ago

Weather shows the live paper ledger. Soccer and US sports show the E1 paper engine: promotion-gate status first, then simulated P&L with its sample size. A profit number is not evidence of an edge until the gates pass and at least 4 weeks are logged. R1–R4 are retired and kept as history.