SP3 health

Parity, last 14 days

A day with no parity run at all, or only `skipped_offline` runs (the local replay box was off), is shown as UNVERIFIED -- spec 5.1. A day is worst-wins: ANY `fail` run for that day shows FAIL, even if a later run the same day passed.

Gaps by reason (last 200 logged signals)

• no_market: 198
• market_incomplete: 2

Drift monitors

• 2026-11-11 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":4.652801638314237,"psiSecondary":5.344789510739859,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":2.094061749539046,"psiSecondary":1.9689843075146607,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":7.40611418265237,"psiSecondary":5.758485027569573,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":7.376746488953772,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":5.928610188578827,"psiSecondary":5.859905596067202,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-11-10 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":5.534809121147235,"psiSecondary":6.4263267560559285,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":3.4954304621424948,"psiSecondary":2.8872483247040717,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":7.3403692301288945,"psiSecondary":5.758794708416643,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":8.283093593681409,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":6.143742693849427,"psiSecondary":6.137504041707233,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-11-09 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":7.019079143570578,"psiSecondary":7.721491151401663,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":4.458644055197118,"psiSecondary":3.8690770363195996,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":7.3300504750953905,"psiSecondary":5.802627232183769,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":8.283092209443502,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":6.143742693849427,"psiSecondary":6.138780912907353,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-11-08 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":7.019079143570578,"psiSecondary":7.715248100967911,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":4.349239786427586,"psiSecondary":4.353063827708236,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":7.37235688762777,"psiSecondary":5.862824028175326,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":8.283089805027537,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":5.928610188578827,"psiSecondary":5.921845628179977,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-11-07 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":7.160368951815471,"psiSecondary":8.282544490246032,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":4.369812706621204,"psiSecondary":4.3720350475010274,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":6.914450864615532,"psiSecondary":6.067930838283805,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":8.284994582872702,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":5.822816614500736,"psiSecondary":5.811429442258098,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-11-06 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":7.160368951815471,"psiSecondary":8.28938218211399,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":3.1021414423175955,"psiSecondary":2.9886359029022844,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":7.033658792046264,"psiSecondary":6.803825178980192,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":8.283875258728656,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":5.769461696655855,"psiSecondary":5.759973880337189,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-11-05 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":7.160368951815471,"psiSecondary":8.284139965077676,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":3.0192066236490236,"psiSecondary":2.898881668645427,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":7.3403692301288945,"psiSecondary":6.807503895026497,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":8.2838735526713,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":5.7556537799132395,"psiSecondary":5.755746262997071,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-11-04 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":7.160368951815471,"psiSecondary":8.284140468203493,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":2.9436280607398873,"psiSecondary":2.7402881160729797,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":7.3300504750953905,"psiSecondary":6.805659631164302,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":8.283875178423758,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":5.778831718118651,"psiSecondary":5.756000849239145,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-11-03 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":7.37444033200178,"psiSecondary":8.284141720328373,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":2.8917961679703486,"psiSecondary":2.6854177785274316,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":7.37235688762777,"psiSecondary":6.807502332303535,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":8.283877925989536,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":5.843448783810141,"psiSecondary":5.77654281424931,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-11-03 — calibration_drift: ok

  {"window_days":30,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","n_signals_scored":7320,"n_log_loss_pairs":7320,"rolling_log_loss":1.0032524286640454,"reference":{"model_log_loss_mean":1.2049956648558342,"ci_low":1.1535186094512013,"ci_high":1.273345803918708,"n_rows":43175,"n_blocks":79},"note":"within the SP2 validation 95% CI [1.1535, 1.2733]","reliability":[{"binLo":0,"binHi":0.1,"n":61399,"meanPredicted":0.010507744519944663,"observedRate":0.008599488591019397},{"binLo":0.1,"binHi":0.2,"n":5888,"meanPredicted":0.14714176776102486,"observedRate":0.12075407608695653},{"binLo":0.2,"binHi":0.3,"n":4901,"meanPredicted":0.2492259031278541,"observedRate":0.2615792695368292},{"binLo":0.3,"binHi":0.4,"n":4481,"meanPredicted":0.3403032948540214,"observedRate":0.3818344119616157},{"binLo":0.4,"binHi":0.5,"n":564,"meanPredicted":0.4362225151599226,"observedRate":0.3953900709219858},{"binLo":0.5,"binHi":0.6,"n":251,"meanPredicted":0.5501131239370599,"observedRate":0.4860557768924303},{"binLo":0.6,"binHi":0.7,"n":290,"meanPredicted":0.6510565502727303,"observedRate":0.6655172413793103},{"binLo":0.7,"binHi":0.8,"n":451,"meanPredicted":0.7512211555843887,"observedRate":0.8181818181818182},{"binLo":0.8,"binHi":0.9,"n":566,"meanPredicted":0.8517453557344303,"observedRate":0.8745583038869258},{"binLo":0.9,"binHi":1,"n":1729,"meanPredicted":0.9648965560560074,"observedRate":0.9751301330248698}],"selection_bias_note":"computed over EVERY signal in the rolling window, not only those that became paper bets, to avoid selection bias"}

• 2026-11-02 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":7.37444033200178,"psiSecondary":8.284143163625588,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":2.8453239207984433,"psiSecondary":2.787425689047593,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":7.480577799092043,"psiSecondary":6.80380355894334,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":8.283877514138911,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":5.843448783810141,"psiSecondary":5.782872187916087,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-11-02 — calibration_drift: ok

  {"window_days":30,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","n_signals_scored":7290,"n_log_loss_pairs":7290,"rolling_log_loss":0.9989076491607839,"reference":{"model_log_loss_mean":1.2049956648558342,"ci_low":1.1535186094512013,"ci_high":1.273345803918708,"n_rows":43175,"n_blocks":79},"note":"within the SP2 validation 95% CI [1.1535, 1.2733]","reliability":[{"binLo":0,"binHi":0.1,"n":61167,"meanPredicted":0.010421576702906324,"observedRate":0.008386875275884055},{"binLo":0.1,"binHi":0.2,"n":5836,"meanPredicted":0.14718789393323392,"observedRate":0.12183002056202878},{"binLo":0.2,"binHi":0.3,"n":4881,"meanPredicted":0.24922531757747193,"observedRate":0.26121696373693915},{"binLo":0.3,"binHi":0.4,"n":4465,"meanPredicted":0.3403401005803915,"observedRate":0.38141097424412096},{"binLo":0.4,"binHi":0.5,"n":554,"meanPredicted":0.4357183989342299,"observedRate":0.40252707581227437},{"binLo":0.5,"binHi":0.6,"n":251,"meanPredicted":0.5501131239370599,"observedRate":0.4860557768924303},{"binLo":0.6,"binHi":0.7,"n":290,"meanPredicted":0.6510565502727303,"observedRate":0.6655172413793103},{"binLo":0.7,"binHi":0.8,"n":451,"meanPredicted":0.7512211555843887,"observedRate":0.8181818181818182},{"binLo":0.8,"binHi":0.9,"n":566,"meanPredicted":0.8517453557344303,"observedRate":0.8745583038869258},{"binLo":0.9,"binHi":1,"n":1729,"meanPredicted":0.9648965560560074,"observedRate":0.9751301330248698}],"selection_bias_note":"computed over EVERY signal in the rolling window, not only those that became paper bets, to avoid selection bias"}

• 2026-11-01 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":7.276172322403334,"psiSecondary":8.284146120012315,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":2.004048467978226,"psiSecondary":1.4858286395437623,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":7.7467982053108315,"psiSecondary":6.811188811329661,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":8.283879902770686,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":5.778831718118651,"psiSecondary":5.860213174950907,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-11-01 — calibration_drift: ok

  {"window_days":30,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","n_signals_scored":7290,"n_log_loss_pairs":7290,"rolling_log_loss":0.9989076491607839,"reference":{"model_log_loss_mean":1.2049956648558342,"ci_low":1.1535186094512013,"ci_high":1.273345803918708,"n_rows":43175,"n_blocks":79},"note":"within the SP2 validation 95% CI [1.1535, 1.2733]","reliability":[{"binLo":0,"binHi":0.1,"n":61167,"meanPredicted":0.010421576702906324,"observedRate":0.008386875275884055},{"binLo":0.1,"binHi":0.2,"n":5836,"meanPredicted":0.14718789393323392,"observedRate":0.12183002056202878},{"binLo":0.2,"binHi":0.3,"n":4881,"meanPredicted":0.24922531757747193,"observedRate":0.26121696373693915},{"binLo":0.3,"binHi":0.4,"n":4465,"meanPredicted":0.3403401005803915,"observedRate":0.38141097424412096},{"binLo":0.4,"binHi":0.5,"n":554,"meanPredicted":0.4357183989342299,"observedRate":0.40252707581227437},{"binLo":0.5,"binHi":0.6,"n":251,"meanPredicted":0.5501131239370599,"observedRate":0.4860557768924303},{"binLo":0.6,"binHi":0.7,"n":290,"meanPredicted":0.6510565502727303,"observedRate":0.6655172413793103},{"binLo":0.7,"binHi":0.8,"n":451,"meanPredicted":0.7512211555843887,"observedRate":0.8181818181818182},{"binLo":0.8,"binHi":0.9,"n":566,"meanPredicted":0.8517453557344303,"observedRate":0.8745583038869258},{"binLo":0.9,"binHi":1,"n":1729,"meanPredicted":0.9648965560560074,"observedRate":0.9751301330248698}],"selection_bias_note":"computed over EVERY signal in the rolling window, not only those that became paper bets, to avoid selection bias"}

• 2026-10-31 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":6.709215605812516,"psiSecondary":7.374624215965356,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":1.166251155878769,"psiSecondary":1.2731903760221068,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":8.119253595916938,"psiSecondary":6.80379295735735,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":8.283879863431528,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":5.7556537799132395,"psiSecondary":6.138301354339952,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-10-31 — calibration_drift: ok

  {"window_days":30,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","n_signals_scored":7290,"n_log_loss_pairs":7290,"rolling_log_loss":0.9989076491607839,"reference":{"model_log_loss_mean":1.2049956648558342,"ci_low":1.1535186094512013,"ci_high":1.273345803918708,"n_rows":43175,"n_blocks":79},"note":"within the SP2 validation 95% CI [1.1535, 1.2733]","reliability":[{"binLo":0,"binHi":0.1,"n":61167,"meanPredicted":0.010421576702906324,"observedRate":0.008386875275884055},{"binLo":0.1,"binHi":0.2,"n":5836,"meanPredicted":0.14718789393323392,"observedRate":0.12183002056202878},{"binLo":0.2,"binHi":0.3,"n":4881,"meanPredicted":0.24922531757747193,"observedRate":0.26121696373693915},{"binLo":0.3,"binHi":0.4,"n":4465,"meanPredicted":0.3403401005803915,"observedRate":0.38141097424412096},{"binLo":0.4,"binHi":0.5,"n":554,"meanPredicted":0.4357183989342299,"observedRate":0.40252707581227437},{"binLo":0.5,"binHi":0.6,"n":251,"meanPredicted":0.5501131239370599,"observedRate":0.4860557768924303},{"binLo":0.6,"binHi":0.7,"n":290,"meanPredicted":0.6510565502727303,"observedRate":0.6655172413793103},{"binLo":0.7,"binHi":0.8,"n":451,"meanPredicted":0.7512211555843887,"observedRate":0.8181818181818182},{"binLo":0.8,"binHi":0.9,"n":566,"meanPredicted":0.8517453557344303,"observedRate":0.8745583038869258},{"binLo":0.9,"binHi":1,"n":1729,"meanPredicted":0.9648965560560074,"observedRate":0.9751301330248698}],"selection_bias_note":"computed over EVERY signal in the rolling window, not only those that became paper bets, to avoid selection bias"}

• 2026-10-30 — input_drift: FLAGGED

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":6.508815939485197,"psiSecondary":7.1628897005703385,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"ens_std":{"psi":1.080976558832841,"psiSecondary":1.7338768858993814,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"clim_mean":{"psi":7.553126661440427,"psiSecondary":6.811197504592406,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":8.268172837197815,"psiSecondary":8.28651564444283,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":5.769461696655855,"psiSecondary":6.139280373450101,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":70,"status":"alert"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-10-30 — calibration_drift: ok

  {"window_days":30,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","n_signals_scored":7280,"n_log_loss_pairs":7280,"rolling_log_loss":0.9973254579775777,"reference":{"model_log_loss_mean":1.2049956648558342,"ci_low":1.1535186094512013,"ci_high":1.273345803918708,"n_rows":43175,"n_blocks":79},"note":"within the SP2 validation 95% CI [1.1535, 1.2733]","reliability":[{"binLo":0,"binHi":0.1,"n":61087,"meanPredicted":0.01039914872111412,"observedRate":0.008316008316008316},{"binLo":0.1,"binHi":0.2,"n":5822,"meanPredicted":0.1472116537412912,"observedRate":0.12212298179319821},{"binLo":0.2,"binHi":0.3,"n":4873,"meanPredicted":0.2492127911692061,"observedRate":0.26082495382721116},{"binLo":0.3,"binHi":0.4,"n":4462,"meanPredicted":0.3403599924709948,"observedRate":0.38144329896907214},{"binLo":0.4,"binHi":0.5,"n":554,"meanPredicted":0.4357183989342299,"observedRate":0.40252707581227437},{"binLo":0.5,"binHi":0.6,"n":248,"meanPredicted":0.5500782348302058,"observedRate":0.49193548387096775},{"binLo":0.6,"binHi":0.7,"n":288,"meanPredicted":0.6513145244302057,"observedRate":0.6701388888888888},{"binLo":0.7,"binHi":0.8,"n":451,"meanPredicted":0.7512211555843887,"observedRate":0.8181818181818182},{"binLo":0.8,"binHi":0.9,"n":566,"meanPredicted":0.8517453557344303,"observedRate":0.8745583038869258},{"binLo":0.9,"binHi":1,"n":1729,"meanPredicted":0.9648965560560074,"observedRate":0.9751301330248698}],"selection_bias_note":"computed over EVERY signal in the rolling window, not only those that became paper bets, to avoid selection bias"}

• 2026-10-29 — input_drift: ok

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":0.22165075404970622,"psiSecondary":0.22455607170343023,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":530,"status":"warn"},"ens_std":{"psi":0.08679664538334274,"psiSecondary":0.09212226619313564,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":530,"status":"ok"},"clim_mean":{"psi":3.4448659884704496,"psiSecondary":0.07681742746078377,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":530,"status":"ok"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":0.23187152846565526,"psiSecondary":0.11504752789827628,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":530,"status":"warn"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":0.2173463110381186,"psiSecondary":0.08807629723120705,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":530,"status":"warn"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-10-29 — calibration_drift: ok

  {"window_days":30,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","n_signals_scored":7270,"n_log_loss_pairs":7270,"rolling_log_loss":0.9953342926965267,"reference":{"model_log_loss_mean":1.2049956648558342,"ci_low":1.1535186094512013,"ci_high":1.273345803918708,"n_rows":43175,"n_blocks":79},"note":"within the SP2 validation 95% CI [1.1535, 1.2733]","reliability":[{"binLo":0,"binHi":0.1,"n":61006,"meanPredicted":0.010374717172596862,"observedRate":0.008245090646821624},{"binLo":0.1,"binHi":0.2,"n":5808,"meanPredicted":0.14723178475258578,"observedRate":0.12224517906336088},{"binLo":0.2,"binHi":0.3,"n":4867,"meanPredicted":0.24923465475872714,"observedRate":0.2603246352989521},{"binLo":0.3,"binHi":0.4,"n":4458,"meanPredicted":0.3403581404029927,"observedRate":0.38178555406011666},{"binLo":0.4,"binHi":0.5,"n":554,"meanPredicted":0.4357183989342299,"observedRate":0.40252707581227437},{"binLo":0.5,"binHi":0.6,"n":246,"meanPredicted":0.5500757206089085,"observedRate":0.4959349593495935},{"binLo":0.6,"binHi":0.7,"n":285,"meanPredicted":0.6516307560838116,"observedRate":0.6771929824561403},{"binLo":0.7,"binHi":0.8,"n":451,"meanPredicted":0.7512211555843887,"observedRate":0.8181818181818182},{"binLo":0.8,"binHi":0.9,"n":566,"meanPredicted":0.8517453557344303,"observedRate":0.8745583038869258},{"binLo":0.9,"binHi":1,"n":1729,"meanPredicted":0.9648965560560074,"observedRate":0.9751301330248698}],"selection_bias_note":"computed over EVERY signal in the rolling window, not only those that became paper bets, to avoid selection bias"}

• 2026-10-28 — input_drift: ok

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":0.15980630910129193,"psiSecondary":0.12050767870148851,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":990,"status":"warn"},"ens_std":{"psi":0.04435356516663886,"psiSecondary":0.023857519552926275,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":990,"status":"ok"},"clim_mean":{"psi":3.451659784072145,"psiSecondary":0.04953173325381409,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":990,"status":"ok"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":0.15003322768904628,"psiSecondary":0.04983718091500323,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":990,"status":"warn"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":0.18678245107131683,"psiSecondary":0.05441162591403212,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":990,"status":"warn"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-10-28 — calibration_drift: ok

  {"window_days":30,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","n_signals_scored":7260,"n_log_loss_pairs":7260,"rolling_log_loss":0.9934595973407185,"reference":{"model_log_loss_mean":1.2049956648558342,"ci_low":1.1535186094512013,"ci_high":1.273345803918708,"n_rows":43175,"n_blocks":79},"note":"within the SP2 validation 95% CI [1.1535, 1.2733]","reliability":[{"binLo":0,"binHi":0.1,"n":60930,"meanPredicted":0.010348789309234933,"observedRate":0.008173313638601675},{"binLo":0.1,"binHi":0.2,"n":5789,"meanPredicted":0.14726259432608352,"observedRate":0.1226463983416825},{"binLo":0.2,"binHi":0.3,"n":4861,"meanPredicted":0.2492436147620343,"observedRate":0.26002880065830075},{"binLo":0.3,"binHi":0.4,"n":4454,"meanPredicted":0.34037798045060685,"observedRate":0.3816793893129771},{"binLo":0.4,"binHi":0.5,"n":550,"meanPredicted":0.43564589875383003,"observedRate":0.40545454545454546},{"binLo":0.5,"binHi":0.6,"n":245,"meanPredicted":0.5502596114932382,"observedRate":0.49795918367346936},{"binLo":0.6,"binHi":0.7,"n":285,"meanPredicted":0.6516307560838116,"observedRate":0.6771929824561403},{"binLo":0.7,"binHi":0.8,"n":451,"meanPredicted":0.7512211555843887,"observedRate":0.8181818181818182},{"binLo":0.8,"binHi":0.9,"n":566,"meanPredicted":0.8517453557344303,"observedRate":0.8745583038869258},{"binLo":0.9,"binHi":1,"n":1729,"meanPredicted":0.9648965560560074,"observedRate":0.9751301330248698}],"selection_bias_note":"computed over EVERY signal in the rolling window, not only those that became paper bets, to avoid selection bias"}

• 2026-10-27 — input_drift: ok

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":0.16672805977939031,"psiSecondary":0.07232758716041915,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":1450,"status":"ok"},"ens_std":{"psi":0.029755327384711188,"psiSecondary":0.024122111870291563,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":1450,"status":"ok"},"clim_mean":{"psi":3.4710217040470144,"psiSecondary":0.07030656504224071,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":1450,"status":"ok"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":0.14051984257896138,"psiSecondary":0.04093584389618926,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":1450,"status":"warn"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":0.16628023359582234,"psiSecondary":0.04748187270057353,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":1450,"status":"warn"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-10-27 — calibration_drift: ok

  {"window_days":30,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","n_signals_scored":7250,"n_log_loss_pairs":7250,"rolling_log_loss":0.9918722844059784,"reference":{"model_log_loss_mean":1.2049956648558342,"ci_low":1.1535186094512013,"ci_high":1.273345803918708,"n_rows":43175,"n_blocks":79},"note":"within the SP2 validation 95% CI [1.1535, 1.2733]","reliability":[{"binLo":0,"binHi":0.1,"n":60851,"meanPredicted":0.010317526363049489,"observedRate":0.008101756750094493},{"binLo":0.1,"binHi":0.2,"n":5773,"meanPredicted":0.14724803801160552,"observedRate":0.12298631560713667},{"binLo":0.2,"binHi":0.3,"n":4857,"meanPredicted":0.24926819251835206,"observedRate":0.2600370599135269},{"binLo":0.3,"binHi":0.4,"n":4446,"meanPredicted":0.3403875005030501,"observedRate":0.3814664867296446},{"binLo":0.4,"binHi":0.5,"n":547,"meanPredicted":0.4356923460843153,"observedRate":0.4076782449725777},{"binLo":0.5,"binHi":0.6,"n":245,"meanPredicted":0.5502596114932382,"observedRate":0.49795918367346936},{"binLo":0.6,"binHi":0.7,"n":285,"meanPredicted":0.6516307560838116,"observedRate":0.6771929824561403},{"binLo":0.7,"binHi":0.8,"n":451,"meanPredicted":0.7512211555843887,"observedRate":0.8181818181818182},{"binLo":0.8,"binHi":0.9,"n":566,"meanPredicted":0.8517453557344303,"observedRate":0.8745583038869258},{"binLo":0.9,"binHi":1,"n":1729,"meanPredicted":0.9648965560560074,"observedRate":0.9751301330248698}],"selection_bias_note":"computed over EVERY signal in the rolling window, not only those that became paper bets, to avoid selection bias"}

• 2026-10-26 — input_drift: ok

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":0.15933368287955954,"psiSecondary":0.08160277205174629,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":1910,"status":"ok"},"ens_std":{"psi":0.031446118464034604,"psiSecondary":0.022515612639121878,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":1910,"status":"ok"},"clim_mean":{"psi":3.491741342376684,"psiSecondary":0.0698808388994735,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":1910,"status":"ok"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":0.13190866713098104,"psiSecondary":0.029762676303299016,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":1910,"status":"warn"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":0.14320946533203877,"psiSecondary":0.05228641174956889,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":1910,"status":"warn"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-10-26 — calibration_drift: ok

  {"window_days":30,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","n_signals_scored":7220,"n_log_loss_pairs":7220,"rolling_log_loss":0.9875995456083979,"reference":{"model_log_loss_mean":1.2049956648558342,"ci_low":1.1535186094512013,"ci_high":1.273345803918708,"n_rows":43175,"n_blocks":79},"note":"within the SP2 validation 95% CI [1.1535, 1.2733]","reliability":[{"binLo":0,"binHi":0.1,"n":60630,"meanPredicted":0.010220070263371203,"observedRate":0.007900379350156687},{"binLo":0.1,"binHi":0.2,"n":5714,"meanPredicted":0.14739100452754916,"observedRate":0.12408120406020301},{"binLo":0.2,"binHi":0.3,"n":4822,"meanPredicted":0.24926558333544183,"observedRate":0.2598506843633347},{"binLo":0.3,"binHi":0.4,"n":4434,"meanPredicted":0.34042606998057595,"observedRate":0.38137122237257554},{"binLo":0.4,"binHi":0.5,"n":544,"meanPredicted":0.435724218178775,"observedRate":0.4099264705882353},{"binLo":0.5,"binHi":0.6,"n":245,"meanPredicted":0.5502596114932382,"observedRate":0.49795918367346936},{"binLo":0.6,"binHi":0.7,"n":285,"meanPredicted":0.6516307560838116,"observedRate":0.6771929824561403},{"binLo":0.7,"binHi":0.8,"n":451,"meanPredicted":0.7512211555843887,"observedRate":0.8181818181818182},{"binLo":0.8,"binHi":0.9,"n":566,"meanPredicted":0.8517453557344303,"observedRate":0.8745583038869258},{"binLo":0.9,"binHi":1,"n":1729,"meanPredicted":0.9648965560560074,"observedRate":0.9751301330248698}],"selection_bias_note":"computed over EVERY signal in the rolling window, not only those that became paper bets, to avoid selection bias"}

• 2026-10-25 — input_drift: ok

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":0.1604911442462868,"psiSecondary":0.11282212105422812,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":2370,"status":"warn"},"ens_std":{"psi":0.0299837128172114,"psiSecondary":0.01745581908776477,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":2370,"status":"ok"},"clim_mean":{"psi":3.498284579697099,"psiSecondary":0.062340118518283506,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":2370,"status":"ok"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":0.12533476463077306,"psiSecondary":0.029592407573420697,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":2370,"status":"warn"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":0.12711627732787795,"psiSecondary":0.04828770392159995,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":2370,"status":"warn"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-10-25 — calibration_drift: ok

  {"window_days":30,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","n_signals_scored":7215,"n_log_loss_pairs":7215,"rolling_log_loss":0.9849775738669225,"reference":{"model_log_loss_mean":1.2049956648558342,"ci_low":1.1535186094512013,"ci_high":1.273345803918708,"n_rows":43175,"n_blocks":79},"note":"within the SP2 validation 95% CI [1.1535, 1.2733]","reliability":[{"binLo":0,"binHi":0.1,"n":60585,"meanPredicted":0.010222711505431104,"observedRate":0.007856730213749278},{"binLo":0.1,"binHi":0.2,"n":5712,"meanPredicted":0.14739023093015818,"observedRate":0.12412464985994398},{"binLo":0.2,"binHi":0.3,"n":4819,"meanPredicted":0.24926529775466785,"observedRate":0.26001245071591617},{"binLo":0.3,"binHi":0.4,"n":4432,"meanPredicted":0.34042824126852184,"observedRate":0.3810920577617328},{"binLo":0.4,"binHi":0.5,"n":544,"meanPredicted":0.435724218178775,"observedRate":0.4099264705882353},{"binLo":0.5,"binHi":0.6,"n":245,"meanPredicted":0.5502596114932382,"observedRate":0.49795918367346936},{"binLo":0.6,"binHi":0.7,"n":285,"meanPredicted":0.6516307560838116,"observedRate":0.6771929824561403},{"binLo":0.7,"binHi":0.8,"n":451,"meanPredicted":0.7512211555843887,"observedRate":0.8181818181818182},{"binLo":0.8,"binHi":0.9,"n":566,"meanPredicted":0.8517453557344303,"observedRate":0.8745583038869258},{"binLo":0.9,"binHi":1,"n":1726,"meanPredicted":0.9648468317991786,"observedRate":0.9768250289687138}],"selection_bias_note":"computed over EVERY signal in the rolling window, not only those that became paper bets, to avoid selection bias"}

• 2026-10-24 — input_drift: ok

  {"window_days":7,"baseline_window_days":23,"warn_threshold":0.1,"alert_threshold":0.25,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","features":{"wbc_mean":{"psi":0.153473218327421,"psiSecondary":0.10746787106278978,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":2830,"status":"warn"},"ens_std":{"psi":0.04086563886649874,"psiSecondary":0.009493286682811193,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.0005993243979514062,"nRecent":2830,"status":"ok"},"clim_mean":{"psi":3.5043643972758884,"psiSecondary":0.057629139295545063,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.37515164723402705,"nRecent":2830,"status":"ok"},"bias30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":0.1178982621630777,"psiSecondary":0.021809105482259904,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":2830,"status":"warn"},"mae30_gfs_seamless":{"psi":0.11732976390194451,"psiSecondary":0.040964438749574304,"nanRateLive":0,"nanRateTraining":0.01406414587192617,"nRecent":2830,"status":"warn"}},"note":"psi is the single, exact 11-bin PSI against the training reference (10 finite deciles + the NaN bin, one normalization -- fix round 1); psi_secondary is the trailing-7-vs-23-day live comparison and never gates on its own"}

• 2026-10-24 — calibration_drift: ok

  {"window_days":30,"model_version":"2026-10-01-9f021892d189-6783608b4b3b","n_signals_scored":6860,"n_log_loss_pairs":6860,"rolling_log_loss":0.9833709895842719,"reference":{"model_log_loss_mean":1.2049956648558342,"ci_low":1.1535186094512013,"ci_high":1.273345803918708,"n_rows":43175,"n_blocks":79},"note":"within the SP2 validation 95% CI [1.1535, 1.2733]","reliability":[{"binLo":0,"binHi":0.1,"n":57631,"meanPredicted":0.01021352715156866,"observedRate":0.007860352935052316},{"binLo":0.1,"binHi":0.2,"n":5404,"meanPredicted":0.14740652566895127,"observedRate":0.1236121391561806},{"binLo":0.2,"binHi":0.3,"n":4573,"meanPredicted":0.249217559979422,"observedRate":0.2591296741745025},{"binLo":0.3,"binHi":0.4,"n":4212,"meanPredicted":0.34070285549607826,"observedRate":0.3815289648622982},{"binLo":0.4,"binHi":0.5,"n":524,"meanPredicted":0.4354974996023219,"observedRate":0.41412213740458015},{"binLo":0.5,"binHi":0.6,"n":229,"meanPredicted":0.5493062742655724,"observedRate":0.49344978165938863},{"binLo":0.6,"binHi":0.7,"n":276,"meanPredicted":0.6516085886774455,"observedRate":0.6811594202898551},{"binLo":0.7,"binHi":0.8,"n":434,"meanPredicted":0.751296556586064,"observedRate":0.8202764976958525},{"binLo":0.8,"binHi":0.9,"n":533,"meanPredicted":0.8520520850469714,"observedRate":0.8761726078799249},{"binLo":0.9,"binHi":1,"n":1644,"meanPredicted":0.96474742026509,"observedRate":0.9768856447688564}],"selection_bias_note":"computed over EVERY signal in the rolling window, not only those that became paper bets, to avoid selection bias"}

Book re-snapshot delay (t0+60s)

The real elapsed time from t0 to the re-snapshot (fetched_at − due_at + 60s), not a hardcoded "60s" -- this job runs on the next cron tick after due_at, so it usually runs a little over 60s.

Average actual delay over the last 50: 1006.6s

Kill switch

Current state: live

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